Stock Market Outlook: Market Inflation Is Not Far Away. It Needs New Sectors To Take The Lead.

There are many rumors about treasury bonds, and many institutions invest heavily in losses. These institutions have brokerages, funds, banks and insurance. Yesterday, the collapse of Bancassurance was related to this, and also dragged down the performance of the stock market. Not to mention the lack of money, what the weight of elephant grade should rise, could it blow up the stock price by blowing balloons?

Affected by the Fed's interest rate hike, the two cities opened lower, and then the trend split, growth stocks overturned and rebounded, weight dropped, and at the end of the close, the Shanghai stock index reported 3117.68 points, down 22.85 points, or 0.73%, and traded at 212 billion 900 million yuan; Shenzhen index reached 10256.11 points, up 23.29 points, or 0.23%, and traded at 245 billion 600 million yuan; the gem index was 1975.85 points, up 12.77 points, or 12.77 points, or 0.23% yuan.

The Shanghai Composite Index dropped three times in the bancassurance market, 9, 40 and 10; 20, the afternoon began to be extremely weak and hard to return, and continued to decline. At about 14:20, the Shanghai stock index hit the lowest point, 3100.91 points. The author wrote an article earlier that the main fund was trying to build a 3100 point policy, and this time it could survive. If only from a certain point of view, it would still be possible to break down, but from a little longer time, the national team would not tolerate the stock index for a long time to breakdown 3100 points, which means that the stock market has failed in the work of supporting the stock market, and the issuance of new shares will bear huge tests, and the RMB exchange rate will undergo a great test.

From the technical support point of view, the half line is currently located at 3070 points, and is moving upward every day, the annual line location is low, about 3036 points, is in a downward trend, so the position of the annual line is temporarily unable to support, but the half year line has not fallen through it since June 28th. It is clear that its support strength is there. From the decline point of view, the 3300 point dropped to 3100 points only 200 points space, not big, a bit impermeable.

On the whole, I believe that the stock index will build a new support platform on the half line to carry out a grinding operation.

Why do we say so? Underneath the technology support, there are also national teams, and the upper resistance exists objectively. The short term average moving down will also cause heavy pressure on the stock index.

From the point of view of news, although major bad points are basically exhausted,

The shock wave does not end, the trigger factor of the bounce is the risk of raising the cards, but the risk of the brand appears to be flavour, and the barbarians are questioned by the market.

Therefore, the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) will regulate the curbing of barbarians.

Further standardizing the investment behavior of venture capital from four aspects will have a greater impact on the incremental capital and investment mode of the market. 1, we will carefully study the upper limit of the shareholding ratio of a single shareholder of the insurance company, such as considering the further reduction from 51% to below 1/3; 2, we will explicitly prohibit the joint purchase of the listed companies by the insurance institutions and the uninsured counterparts, and make sure that the new part of the capital investment of the insurance companies should use their own funds and not use the insurance funds; 3.

The behavior shall be filed with the CIRC. For the acquisition of listed companies, it must be reported to the CIRC before approval. 4, the plan will reduce the proportion of equity assets to total assets of insurance companies from 40% to 30%, and reduce the proportion of single equity investment to total assets of insurance companies from 10% to 5%.

The Fed's interest rate continues to rise, and the US dollar index continues to rise. The downward pressure on the RMB exchange rate continues to increase. The central bank's monetary policy is in a dilemma. Liquidity is not injected. The bond market is in a mess. The Treasury bond futures are rarely allowed to fall in full. Liquidity is difficult to understand.

With the injection of liquidity, the pressure of RMB depreciation will increase, capital outflow will intensify, and liquidity losses that will not be able to hedge capital outflows may still be injected.

To be straitened for money.

Therefore, the central bank can only rush to short term liquidity through proper open operation.

From yesterday's plate, more is a popular trend, not a clear new hot spot, one is the central enterprises reform represented by China Shipping Group and the new type of retail represented by Sanjiang shopping, and another is the demon of the stock market. But many of the stock companies have to stop checking. Although the verification has no meaning, it will eventually cool the market, and the market is not far away.

Yesterday, the resilience was very weak, and it was also a sluggish paction, and the paction was sluggish, which showed that the participation of investors was not high. The reason why the participation rate was not high was that the current market information was not good. The author did not say anything else, that is, the quantity of new shares issued every week was very anxious. Therefore, the stock index fell little space and the space of increase was not large. The platform built around 3100 points is a relatively ideal trend. Investment opportunities are still optimistic about the reform of state-owned enterprises and the rebound opportunities of high-quality small and medium-sized stocks, controlling the participation of bargain positions and lowering expectations.

The trend of bancassurance is more difficult to predict. There is no national team to support it.

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