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Domestic Planting Costs Increase Compared With Previous Years, Resulting In Cotton Production Reduction.

2013/9/17 13:26:00 50

"affected by pre disaster weather, the main production area" a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com" > cotton < /a > production reduction is a foregone conclusion this year. Compared with previous years, cotton production will be reduced by one or two this year. In addition, cotton picking period is generally 10 days later than in previous years. Zhang Wenmin, director of cotton research and development center of Wanda futures, told reporters. .
 cotton production in most parts of China is less than /strong > /p >
 reporter learned from the Xinjiang cotton association that the low temperature in May has affected the cotton knot peach. In 6 and July, some cities in Xinjiang also encountered hail. "Hailstones are as big as eggs, less than half an hour, and the cotton plants are beaten into light stalks." Xinjiang province Yuepuhu County cotton grower Han Qi said that his family's 20 mu cotton reduced production about 40%. 
 according to statistics of the Economic Crops Research Institute of Xinjiang Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Xinjiang's cotton production decreased by 10% in 2013, and the yield in southern Xinjiang was larger than that in Northern Xinjiang. Some ginning mills in Akesu and Kashi have predicted that the single production of cotton in southern Xinjiang is concentrated in 320-380 kg / mu in this year. In 4 and May, the cotton area with heavy disaster was reduced to 250-300 kg / mu. In addition, since mid August, some of the better growing cotton spider mites are more serious, and the yield per unit area may be down by 20% compared with last year. 
 at the same time, cotton production in Hunan, Shandong and other places is also concerned by the industry. 
 Lixian is a large cotton producing county in Hunan. Local farmers reflect that in 7 and August, because of drought and no rain for a few days, cotton production had a certain impact. In 2012, the total output of cotton in Hunan province was 320 thousand tons. From the previous statistics and current situation, the total output of cotton in the province decreased by one or two compared with last year. 
 "we are going to have a continuous high temperature and drought, and the output of cotton will definitely drop. And my daughter-in-law's home (Shandong), in July, is continuous rain. Her brother planted 20 mu of cotton this year. She expected to have a good harvest, but the rain continued to shatter her brother's good wishes." A farmer in Lixian is very depressed. 
 cotton yield reduction, can cotton price rise? 
 cotton yield reduction and cotton price rise seem to be normal logic. As the cost of physical and chemical labor and labor costs rise, considering the fact that there is a national reserve policy, cotton farmers believe that the seed cotton purchase price is only 9-10 yuan / kg this year, but the buyout companies do not agree that "seed cotton is higher than 9.2 yuan / kg, and we will definitely lose money." Henan Fugou County, a cotton processing enterprise official said. 
 September 10th, < a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/news/index_p.asp" > Xinjiang < /a > Bazhou Korla and Yuli County cotton processing plant have begun to buy new cotton, Luntai, Ruoqiang and Mecca have been piecemeal acquisitions, and four counties such as ho Shuo have planned to buy in September 12th. Zhang Wenmin said, "compared with previous years, the cotton purchase period is delayed, the sales volume is not large. Up to now, the state has acquired more than 1500 tons of seed cotton, and the purchase price of seed cotton with 40% lint is 8.70-8.80 yuan / kg. 
 Han Qi introduced that the cost of planting has increased by 8%-10% over the past year, and this year cotton production has been cut down, so cotton growers have a high expectation of seed cotton prices. "Picking requires a large number of flower picking workers. If the seed cotton sale price is below 9 yuan / kg, we are not willing to sell." 
 however, in Kashi and Akesu, the purchase price of 40% lint seed cotton should not be higher than 8.90 yuan / kg. If the purchase price is too high, there will be no profit for the ginning enterprises. 
 this month, < a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/news/index_q.asp" > cotton storage and storage < /a > rules promulgated. The main cotton producing areas in China are different in purchasing time, and the purchase price is 8-9.35 yuan / kg. Cotton production is reduced and cotton farmers are reluctant to sell. The market is not good enough. "On the one hand, farmers are picking up one after another, looking forward to rising prices; on the one hand, enterprises want to pay back, and look at quality and price." Some analysts said that the current seed cotton purchase price showed an upward trend, and the psychological price of seed cotton purchase was at 3128B level 8.6 yuan / kg (lint 40%). 
 the analysts believe that the market has strong expectations for the national price cut and storage in 9 and October, and the national direct subsidy policy of 2014/2015 is expected to be withdrawn. The purchase and storage policy is expected to withdraw. After the purchase and storage in March 2014, the price of cotton will probably fall again. At that time, the domestic and foreign cotton price difference is expected to return.